Havspejlet er ikke stigende - mere end det plejer

Diverse, IPCC, Klima, Pressen, Videnskab, miljø, venstrefløjen — Drokles on June 5, 2015 at 4:11 pm

Du har muligvis gennemlevet de varmest måneder siden man begyndte at måle temperaturen, føler Think Progress sig nødsaget til at gøre sine læsere opmærksomme på. Ingen havde åbenbart lagt mærke til det. Muslimer med sympatier til kalifatet mener at oversvømmelserne i Texas er Allahs straf for Pamella Gellers tegn Muhammed konkurrence skriver Gateway Pundit. Den Allah-skabte oversvømmelse afløser den menneskeskabte tørke, så synder ophæver hinanden. De australske vælgere tror hverken på at Allaheller mennesket påvirker klimaet i nævneværdig grad og i USA har både George Cloonys klimafilm Tomorrowland. Samme skæbne led klimadokumentaren Merchants of Doubt.

I forrige måned citerede jeg her på Monokultur fra Frede Westergaards artikel i Weekendavisen om Månens effekt på havspejlet og om, hvorfor det ikke stiger så dramatisk, som FNs klimapanel vil have os til at tro. Climate Change Dispatch er mere ublu i deres udtryk og kalder det et stykke svindel

Climate alarmists put forth scary scenarios saying that carbon dioxide induced global warming is causing unprecedented and accelerating sea level rise which will drown our coastal cities and wipe out South Pacific Islands.

(…)

A conclusion from the Scafetta paper has implications for climate model predictions: “at scales shorter than 100-years, the measured tide gauge accelerations are strongly driven by the natural oscillations of the climate system (e.g. PDO, AMO and NAO). At the smaller scales (e.g. at the decadal and bi-decadal scale) they are characterized by a large volatility due to significant decadal and bi-decadal climatic oscillations. Therefore, accelerations, as well as linear rates evaluated using a few decades of data (e.g. during the last 20-60 years) cannot be used for constructing reliable long-range projections of sea-level for the twenty first century.”

About those South Pacific Islands:

You may recall several years ago much press about Tuvalu and other South Pacific islands being endangered by rising sea level. For an example of some of the hype, see my October, 2011, post: “University of Arizona Dances with Sea Level.”

The Australian government has been monitoring sea level on Pacific islands with modern instruments since 1992. In the case of Tuvalu, they state, “If the depression of the 1998 cyclone is ignored, there was no change is sea level at Tuvalu between 1994 and 2009: 14 years. (See report of studies by Vincent Gray here.)

Finally, new research by Kench et al. (2015) finds that these same South Pacific islands, rather than sinking beneath the waves, have in fact been growing.

Og lad os derfor få et par ord fra Nils-Axel Mörner

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