Græske perspektiver

Diverse — Drokles on June 19, 2012 at 4:04 pm

Politikens EU korrespondent Thomas Lauritzen fæstner under den efter artiklens begejstrede indhold at dømme u-ironiske overskrift “Eurolandene gør klar til det store spring fremad” stor lid til politikernes evne til at løse deres selvskabte problemer

I weekenden har den nye franske præsident, François Hollande, rundsendt et notat til lederne i alle de andre medlemslande.

Under titlen »En pagt for vækst i Europa« forslår han at bruge 900 milliarder kroner på jobskabende EU-projekter.

Det 11 sider lange franske forslag, som søndag blev lækket til avisen Journal du Dimanche, indeholder også meget ambitiøse planer om fælles gældsansvar, en bankunion for eurolandene og et fremstød for en europæisk finansskat, som Danmark hidtil har været meget skeptisk over for.

Der eksisterer stadig væsentlige uenigheder mellem Frankrigs præsident og den tyske forbundskansler, men der er også tegn på, at Hollande og Angela Merkel nærmer sig hinanden. For de er under stort pres fra resten af verden for at finde en troværdig vej ud af eurokrisen.

(…)

Desuden skal en række nye jobprojekter inden for teknologi og infrastruktur »udvikles inden årets udgang samtidig med skabelsen af en skat på finansielle transaktioner«.

Op til det franske parlamentsvalg i søndags har det samtidig været vigtigt for François Hollande at stå fast på sine tanker om at dele gældsansvaret via euroobligationer. Kansler Merkel har på sin side været forsigtig i sine udtalelser, som har været balanceret mellem advarsler mod håb om »mirakelløsninger« og en gradvis åbning for nye tanker.

Nogle har fremstillet det som en splittelse mellem Frankrig og Tyskland. Men faktisk begynder man at kunne se omridset af et fransk-tysk kompromis.

Det vil få mere kød på, når lederne af de fire største eurolande samles i Rom på fredag - samtidig med et europæisk finansministermøde i Luxembourg.

Thomas Lauritzen påstår at han skriver fra “Bag magtens kulisser i Bruxelles”. Max Hastings er derimod ikke optimist på Euro’en vegne

The truth is that the weaker brethren of the EU have got to go, for their own sake and everybody else’s.

There is absolutely no happy scenario at the end of this crisis — only a choice between variations of calamity.

If the eurozone survives at all, it can only be as a German economic empire in which the subject peoples will sooner or later find colonial status intolerable. The Greeks will surely never accept a long-term future as a subjugated tribe — the Bantus of Europe.

Meanwhile, it is impossible to believe the Germans will indefinitely provide cash to keep the French people in the style to which they think themselves entitled.

The economic stresses afflicting southern Europe could give way to social upheavals of which past Greek riots are a mere taster.

Sooner or later, Europe will awaken to reality, but almost certainly too late for the eurozone and perhaps even for the European Union.

One generation of European political leaders, that of Jacques Delors and Helmut Kohl, created a fantasy economic and political structure which is now collapsing about our ears.

Their successors, the generation of Merkel, Sarkozy, and Hollande, have proved incapable of repairing it, or even of organising an orderly evacuation into lifeboats.

David Cameron is left with the huge and unenviable task of achieving a redefinition of Britain’s relationship with Europe. This has become almost inevitable. Most of us passionately hope that we shall be able to preserve a trading association with our partners.

But it likely to be many months before Europe’s direction of travel becomes plain, and thus before we can see what are our choices. Meanwhile, as David Cameron warned yesterday at the G20, the continent is threatened with economic stagnation, and us with it.

Og i Grækenland frygter de i stigende grad for fremtidige Euroligheder, eller hvad Robert Hartman kalder et Drachmageddon i Daily Mail

One thing is certain. Absolutely no one in Athens expects any improvement in the dismal situation that constitutes ordinary life in Greece today.

In the days since I arrived here, the local news has included the following stories: a pharmacist shot dead for his day’s takings; chemists all over Athens running out of cancer drugs; a ferry company unable to pay for fuel, thus stranding thousands of people on several Aegean islands; a lynch mob attacking a fisherman on a government exchange programme — for being Egyptian.

Walking the streets, I have met a neo-Nazi party with a surging popular vote and a proposal to halt illegal immigration with landmines.

I have wandered amid the weeds of derelict Olympic stadia built just eight years ago at vast expense for those ruinous 2004 Games. Anyone for softball? If not, how about planting some carrots on the pitch?

I have toured a bank vault without a single vacant deposit box because everyone wants to lock away their valuables in case the country descends into lawlessness.

Even if the dreaded meltdown does not come to pass on Monday, the spectre is still not going to go away.

(…)

There is a palpable sense of poverty almost everywhere. Some areas have become feral no-go zones after dark. And yet what I find most surprising is the sense of calm, almost defiant resignation.

There has been no stampede for petrol or food. True, people have been withdrawing cash at the rate of up to 800?million euros a day, and an estimated 70?billion euros is thought to have been squirrelled away in foreign bank accounts in recent months.

But what is perhaps more surprising is that 170?billion euros is still sitting in ordinary Greek bank accounts. There have been no queues outside Athenian banks this week. In short, there is no panic.
‘Perhaps this is what it feels like just before the volcano is about to explode,’ says Nikos Konstandaras, columnist and managing editor of the mainstream national newspaper, Kathimerini.

For at svare på Lauritzens spørgsmål så står Danmark med den negative obligationsrente forhåbentlig langt nok fra EU til ikke at blive trukket med ned i Euroens malstrøm når lortet kollapser.

1 Kommentar »

  1. Jeg læste engang for et års tid siden om en økonom som i korte træk fortalte hvad EU ville ende med. Han sagde, at hvis der kom Euroobligationer, ville der ikke være langt igen for det EU vi kender i dag. Det vil ende med suverænitetsafgivelse for alle pengene, eller at nationerne selv melder sig ud af EU. Rygtet går på, at man allerede er begyndt at trykke D-Mark i Tyskland for en sikkerheds skyld

    Comment by Gammelfar — July 8, 2012 @ 5:57 pm

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