Gensyn med 1970 og den da forestående undergang

Diverse — Drokles on April 19, 2011 at 5:37 am

Bloggen I Hate The Media har samlet en række dystre forudsigelser fremsat til lejligheden på Earth Day 1970

“By…[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“It is already too late to avoid mass starvation.”
• Denis Hayes, chief organizer for Earth Day

“Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”
• Peter Gunter, professor, North Texas State University

“Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support…the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”
• Life Magazine, January 1970

“At the present rate of nitrogen buildup, it’s only a matter of time before light will be filtered out of the atmosphere and none of our land will be usable.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

I 2005 forudsagde FN at 50 mill. klimaflygtninge ville blive en realitet om øh, sidste år rent faktisk. Men det har ikke været tilfældet, sim Investors Business Daily fortæller

Five years ago, the U.N. predicted that by 2010 some 50 million people would be fleeing climate change, rising seas, mega-hurricanes and so on. Instead, no islands have sunk and their populations are booming.

It’s been said that when you make a prediction and provide a date, never give a number, and if you give a number, never provide a date. That way you can always claim to be right, even when you are wrong, and that it just hasn’t happened yet.

The United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) made that mistake in 2005 when it produced a map showing areas to be impacted by the effects of climate change. These areas would produce 50 million “climate refugees” driven out by rising sea levels, increased frequency and ferocity of hurricanes, disruptions in food production, etc.

As related by blogger Gavin Atkins, who unearthed the forgotten prophecy of doom, some of these areas have conducted censuses and if they are facing any problems at all, it’s caused by their rapid and sustained population growth. If anybody is leaving any of the danger zones, it’s because they are getting too crowded.

Watts Up With That kan man læse den morsomme beretning om, hvorledes man prøvede at slette sporerne i cyberspace. Og det har ansporet WUWT til at oprette en permanent side, Climate FAIL Files, der vil samle den slags forudsigelser for at holde dem op imod den ikke computersimulerede virkelighed.

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