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Monokultur » 2010 var det varmeste år nogensinde


2010 var det varmeste år nogensinde

Diverse — Drokles on January 15, 2011 at 11:57 pm

I hvert fald ifølge NASA, som Jyllands-Posten skriver

Den høje gennemsnitstemperatur overrasker mange klimaforskere:

»Det kommer bag på os, at 2010 var rekord-varmt,« lyder det fra klima- og polarforsker Sebastian Mernild fra Los Alamos National Laboratory i New Mexico, USA.

»Det er særlig bemærkelsesværdigt, fordi vi i en del af 2010 har været ramt af klimafænomenet La Niña, der af naturlige årsager gør kloden lidt køligere. Hvis vi ikke havde haft La Niña i 2010, ville det have været endnu varmere,« vurderer Sebastian Mernild.

»Med den udvikling, vi har set de seneste årtier, er der stor sandsynlighed for, at det bliver endnu varmere med endnu flere varmerekorder de kommende år.«

Joanna Nova svarer

  1. Sure, and the world has been warming for 300 years, long before the industrial revolution. The trend hasn’t changed as our emissions rose. No one knows exactly why it started rising back then, but it wasn’t CO2.
  2. Sure and 150 years of “records” is not long. It was warmer 1000 years ago, 2000 years ago, 5000 years ago and 130,000 years ago. In fact its been warmer for most of the last 10,000 years than it is today, and it’s been warmer for most of the last 500 million years. Only people who think CO2 matters keep repeating that it’s warmed from 1850 to now without pointing out the bigger perspective.
  3. Sure, and the records have been set with thermometers like this one (next to concrete and exhaust vents — see below).  There probably weren’t too many car parks or air conditioners in 1880 either. Not to mention the non-random adjustments, and that mystery about how 75% of thermometers are ignored.

Og hun har en række relevante og interessante grafer, som jeg gerne vil anbefale. Roy Spencer konkluderer

As far as the race for warmest year goes, 1998 (+0.424 deg. C) barely edged out 2010 (+0.411 deg. C), but the difference (0.01 deg. C) is nowhere near statistically significant. So feel free to use or misuse those statistics to your heart’s content.

Til forskel fra NASA, der stik mod, hvad man kunne forvente af en rumfartsorganisation forlader sig på gammeldags termometre, hvis målinger ekstrapoleres over store områder støtter Spencer sig til sattelitmålinger, som giver denne graf

2011 tegner til gengæld til at blive  noget koldere.

3 Kommentarer »

  1. Christopher Monckton of Brenchley - ny artikel: http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/originals/alarming_warming.html

    Comment by Universalgeni — January 16, 2011 @ 6:05 am
  2. Ja han er herlig. Tak for linket.

    Comment by Drokles — January 17, 2011 @ 7:53 am
  3. Var da så lidt! :-)

    Comment by Universalgeni — January 17, 2011 @ 9:50 am

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