Det er vigtigt at forstå Christian Braad Thomsen

Diverse — Drokles on June 3, 2011 at 11:41 pm

Christian Braad Thomsen har i Information en opfordring til at forstå Hitler, med udgangspunkt i Lars von Triers helt-på-spanden-i-Cannes pressekonference. For Hitler er en del af os selv og fornægter vi forståelsen af ham er vi blinde for at gentage hans forbrydelser. Og de forbrydelser er Israel…

Den jødiske stat er et grotesk billede på, hvad der sker, hvis man ikke grundlæggende vil forstå Hitler og nazismen: Man risikerer at gentage nazismens forbrydelser – denne gang med palæstinenserne i jødernes rolle som undermennesker.

Danmark…

Hvis der i Danmark herskede en dybere indsigt i nazismen, ville vi i disse år ikke være havnet i en ureflekteret gentagelse af nazismens normalitet. Vi praktiserer et muslimhad, der ikke står tilbage for 1930’ernes tyske jødehad. Derfor har vi bestemt, at danskere ikke har lov at flytte sammen med deres udenlandske kæreste, før de er fyldt 24 år – og da kun hvis de kan lægge en klækkelig sum penge på bordet.

Staten optræder både som alfons og som den far, der vil bestemme, hvem hans børn må gifte sig med, samtidig med at vi projicerer denne grumme faderskikkelse over på muslimerne. Disse love har ikke haft deres lige i Europa siden de nazistiske Nürnberglove, der forbød ariske tyskere at gifte sig med jøder. Vi regner vore egne love for helt naturlige, fordi vi ikke forstår deres udspring i nazistisk tænkning, ligesom vi har opgivet enhver naturlig moralsk holdning til de unges frie partnervalg.

og Frankrig…

Og intet tyder på, at franskmændene har lært lektien [af nazismen]. I hvert fald har de indført love, der fratager folk retten til noget så basalt som selv at bestemme, hvilken hovedbeklædning de vil bære.

Om jeg forstår Hitler ved jeg ikke, men jeg forstår ikke Braad Thomsen, knap nok, hvad han siger. Og alligevel tror jeg ikke min hjerne vil brænde sammen som hans.

Lidt perspektiv på det arabiske forår

Diverse — Drokles on June 3, 2011 at 10:41 pm

I sidste uge skrev Spengler om en kommende ægyptisk fødevarkrise i Asia Times

Egypt is running out of food, and, more gradually, running out of money with which to buy it. The most populous country in the Arab world shows all the symptoms of national bankruptcy - the kind that produced hyperinflation in several Latin American countries during the 1970s and 1980s - with a deadly difference: Egypt imports half its wheat, and the collapse of its external credit means starvation.

The civil violence we have seen over the past few days foreshadows far worse to come.

The Arab uprisings began against a background of food insecurity, as rising demand from Asia priced the Arab poor out of the grain market (Food and failed Arab states, Asia Times Online February 2, 2011). The chaotic political response, though, threatens to disrupt food supplies in the relative near term. Street violence will become the norm rather than the exception in Egyptian politics. All the discussion about Egypt’s future political model and its prospective relations with Israel will be overshadowed by the country’s inability to feed itself.

Og Spengler uddybede selvfølgelig baggrunden og perspektiverne i den meget interessante og anbefalelsesværdige artikel. Og forleden fulgte Spengler så op med endnu en uddybning ligeledes i Asia Times af den økonomiske situation også i flere andre arabiske lande.

The numbers thrown out by the IMF are stupefying. “In the current baseline scenario,” wrote the IMF on May 27, “the external financing needs of the region’s oil importers is projected to exceed $160 billion during 2011-13.” That’s almost three years’ worth of Egypt’s total annual imports as of 2010. As of 2010, the combined current account deficit (that is, external financing needs) of Egypt, Syria, Yemen, Morocco and Tunisia was about $15 billion a year.

What the IMF says, in effect, is that the oil-poor Arab economies - especially Egypt - are not only broke, but dysfunctional, incapable of earning more than a small fraction of their import bill. The disappearance of tourism is an important part of the problem, but shortages of fuel and other essentials have had cascading effects throughout these economies.

“In the next 18 months,” the IMF added, “a greater part of these financing needs will need to be met from the international community because of more cautious market sentiments during the uncertain transition.”

Translation: private investors aren’t stupid enough to throw money down a Middle Eastern rat-hole, and now that the revolutionary government has decided to make a horrible example of deposed president Hosni Mubarak, anyone who made any money under his regime is cutting and running. At its May 29 auction of treasury bills, Egypt paid about 12% for short-term money, to its own captive banking system. Its budget deficit in the next fiscal year, the government says, will exceed $30 billion.

And the IMF’s $160 billion number is only “external financing”; that is, maintaining imports into a busted economy. It doesn’t do a thing to repair busted economies that import half their caloric intake, as do the oil-poor Arab nations.

Egypt’s economy is in free fall.

Læs også den.

Skal Israel overtage hele Mellemøsten?

Diverse — Drokles on June 3, 2011 at 10:13 pm

Via Elder of Zion

Masser af olie

Diverse — Drokles on June 2, 2011 at 8:38 pm

Vi har kul, olie og naturgas tid de næste par hundrede år fortæller Michael Lind og med VI menes der os civiliserede mennesker i den vestlige verden.

As everyone who follows news about energy knows by now, in the last decade the technique of hydraulic fracturing or “fracking,” long used in the oil industry, has evolved to permit energy companies to access reserves of previously-unrecoverable “shale gas” or unconventional natural gas. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, these advances mean there is at least six times as much recoverable natural gas today as there was a decade ago.

Natural gas, which emits less carbon dioxide than coal, can be used in both electricity generation and as a fuel for automobiles.

The implications for energy security are startling. Natural gas may be only the beginning. Fracking also permits the extraction of previously-unrecoverable “tight oil,” thereby postponing the day when the world runs out of petroleum. There is enough coal to produce energy for centuries. And governments, universities and corporations in the U.S., Canada, Japan and other countries are studying ways to obtain energy from gas hydrates, which mix methane with ice in high-density formations under the seafloor. The potential energy in gas hydrates may equal that of all other fossils, including other forms of natural gas, combined.

If gas hydrates as well as shale gas, tight oil, oil sands and other unconventional sources can be tapped at reasonable cost, then the global energy picture looks radically different than it did only a few years ago. Suddenly it appears that there may be enough accessible hydrocarbons to power industrial civilization for centuries, if not millennia, to come.

So much for the specter of depletion, as a reason to adopt renewable energy technologies like solar power and wind power. Whatever may be the case with Peak Oil in particular, the date of Peak Fossil Fuels has been pushed indefinitely into the future. What about national security as a reason to switch to renewable energy?

The U.S., Canada and Mexico, it turns out, are sitting on oceans of recoverable natural gas. Shale gas is combined with recoverable oil in the Bakken “play” along the U.S.-Canadian border and the Eagle Ford play in Texas. The shale gas reserves of China turn out to be enormous, too. Other countries with now-accessible natural gas reserves, according to the U.S. government, include Australia, South Africa, Argentina, Chile, France, Poland and India.

Because shale gas reserves are so widespread, the potential for blackmail by Middle Eastern producers and Russia will diminish over time. Unless opponents of fracking shut down gas production in Europe, a European Union with its own natural gas reserves will be far less subject to blackmail by Russia (whose state monopoly Gazprom has opportunistically echoed western Greens in warning of the dangers of fracking).

The U.S. may become a major exporter of natural gas to China — at least until China borrows the technology to extract its own vast gas reserves.

Og mon ikke kineserne regner dén ud ganske hurtigt.

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